{"id":1500,"date":"2024-08-26T11:16:43","date_gmt":"2024-08-26T11:16:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/?p=1500"},"modified":"2025-09-02T22:00:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T22:00:52","slug":"is-social-mobility-in-ireland-falling-and-why-does-that-matter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/2024\/08\/26\/is-social-mobility-in-ireland-falling-and-why-does-that-matter\/","title":{"rendered":"Part 1: Is social mobility in Ireland falling and why does that matter?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Biological evolution gave humans a fairness instinct, and cultural evolution has promoted fairness above other competing values in the developed world because it critically enables complex cooperation, a crucial component for economic gain and rising living standards. Everyone has their own idea of which policies and ideas constitute &#8220;fairness&#8221; in a society and which are deemed to be generally &#8220;unfair&#8221;. Within our political system there are many political approaches or ideologies which seek to give a voice to our ideas of what is fair and unfair. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Populism<\/strong> is a political ideology or movement that champions the interests of the common people against the perceived elite or establishment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Populist language is couched in terms of unfairness by its framing. It tends to be anti-elite, and entails substantial frustration with elites who allegedly rig society in their favour. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It must be noted that &#8220;economic unfairness&#8221; and &#8220;economic inequality&#8221; are not the same thing. Economic inequality to a certain extent is necessary for a productive and healthy competitive society in which those who contribute more achieve more financial reward. In fact, this system in principle is what helps achieve &#8220;fairer&#8221; outcomes in capitalist societies rather than communist ones. Economic unfairness on the other hand results when enough people feel that their input doesn&#8217;t match the reward, particularly in comparison to others in society. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But feelings of economic unfairness need to be somewhat widespread and persistent to take proper hold in a society. Unfortunately in many cases since the 1990&#8217;s, these feelings of economic unfairness have done just that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/ireland\/housing-planning\/2022\/07\/06\/do-you-think-you-will-never-be-a-homeowner-and-are-you-worried-about-retirement\">https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/ireland\/housing-planning\/2022\/07\/06\/do-you-think-you-will-never-be-a-homeowner-and-are-you-worried-about-retirement<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is why slogans such as Trump\u00b4s &#8220;Make America Great Again&#8221; or LePens &#8220;Au Nom du Peuple&#8221; or the Leave campaigns &#8220;Take Back Control&#8221; have been so effective, as populist figures talk about &#8220;forgotten people&#8221; in a &#8220;rigged system&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economic unfairness and the growth of anti-establishment  populism is thus strongly linked to falling social mobility. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><strong>&#8221; Worse social mobility, controlling for income and population per capita, is statistically and significantly correlated with lower confidence in government. &#8220;<\/strong> -Reclaiming Populism, 2021<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>But what is social mobility? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Social mobility, measures amongst other things, the extent to which each citizen\u00b4s outcome in life depends on how wealthy their parents were. In an environment of low social mobility, it is very difficult to get ahead if you do not already come from a well-off family- a situation that clearly violates the principles of so called &#8220;economic fairness&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conversely, in place with high social mobility, each person\u00b4s financial security is not strongly influenced by how much their parents earned. Individual success depends a great deal more on individual merit, and outcomes are broadly fairer. Ireland is relatively speaking, a country with high social mobility however it\u00b4s persistent housing crisis is threatening this system and there is evidence, both anecdotal and statistical that it is falling. As housing is a basic human need, the fact that so many people cannot access it despite working hard should be setting off alarm bells.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the context of Ireland, some politicians seem to have grasped onto this growing problem and shed light on it from an Irish perspective. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Deputy Holly Cairns for example, leader of the Social Democrats aptly pointed out that Irish millennials will be the first generation to be less well-off than their parents. Certainly the vast majority of the economic and anecdotal evidence would support her claim. Home ownership rates have fallen off a cliff, and  large-scale investors have taken a sizeable portion of the rental market, trapping many non-homeowners at both ends. This is falling social mobility at play, and is one of a myriad of factors that can eventually create the conditions for populist and anti-democratic sentiments to rise in a society. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We should take these concerns very seriously. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The logical conclusion from the wealth of evidence and academic studies on populist upheavels like that of Trumpism is that economic unfairness is the most compelling general purpose explanation for the populist wave across the developed world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The core of the problem is neither racism, immigration, wealth envy nor cultural isolation &#8211; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p> &#8220;At the core of the problem is the lived reality that no matter what you do, you and your family will not get ahead because the rules are stacked to favour other people.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Populist have succeeded at the ballot box because they connect with people who feel that they haven\u00b4t been given a fair chance at success, and that their political voices have been scorned and ignored. Today, populist leaders have given these voters a chance to rebel against society that is pre-disposed to keep them in their place, regardless of their actual or potential capacity to <strong>create value<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Sinead O`Connor  - Arsenio Hall 1991\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/mAf7fGEeRQs?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background\" style=\"background-color:#f5fffa\"><strong>Next up<\/strong>:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/2024\/06\/17\/restoring-public-trust-in-democracy\/\">Part 2: Wealth inequality &amp; housing: Blaming the migrants for a homegrown problem?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Biological evolution gave humans a fairness instinct, and cultural evolution has promoted fairness above other competing values in the developed world because it critically enables complex cooperation, a crucial component for economic gain and rising living standards. Everyone has their own idea of which policies and ideas constitute &#8220;fairness&#8221; in a society and which are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","eq-blocks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1500"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2189,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500\/revisions\/2189"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2187"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureofdublin.ie\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}